The effect of discontinuing hypertonic saline or dornase alfa on mucociliary clearance in elexacaftor/tezacaftor/ivacaftor treated people with cystic fibrosis: The SIMPLIFY-MCC Study.

Many people with CF (pwCF) desire a reduction in inhaled treatment burden after initiation of elexacaftor/tezacaftor/ivacaftor. The randomized, open-label SIMPLIFY study showed that discontinuing hypertonic saline (HS) or dornase alfa (DA) was non-inferior to continuation of each treatment with respect to change in lung function over a 6-week period. In this SIMPLIFY substudy, we used gamma scintigraphy to determine whether discontinuation of either HS or DA was associated with deterioration in the rate of in vivo mucociliary clearance (MCC) in participants ≥12 years of age. While no significant differences in MCC endpoints were associated with HS discontinuation, significant improvement in whole and peripheral lung MCC was observed after discontinuing DA. These results suggest that pwCF on ETI with mild lung disease do not experience a subclinical deterioration in MCC that could later impact health outcomes after discontinuing HS, and in fact may benefit from improved MCC after stopping DA treatment.

Standards for the care of people with cystic fibrosis; establishing and maintaining health.

This is the second in a series of four papers updating the European Cystic Fibrosis Society (ECFS) standards for the care of people with CF. This paper focuses on establishing and maintaining health. The guidance is produced using an evidence-based framework and with wide stakeholder engagement, including people from the CF community. Authors provided a narrative description of their topic and statements, which were more directive. These statements were reviewed by a Delphi exercise, achieving good levels of agreement from a wide group for all statements. This guidance reinforces the importance of a multi-disciplinary CF team, but also describes developing models of care including virtual consultations. The framework for health is reinforced, including the need for a physically active lifestyle and the strict avoidance of all recreational inhalations, including e-cigarettes. Progress with cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) modulator therapy is reviewed, including emerging adverse events and advice for dose reduction and interruption. This paper contains guidance that is pertinent to all people with CF regardless of age and eligibility for and access to modulator therapy.

The cost of simplifying treatments for cystic fibrosis: Implications of the SIMPLIFY trial.

BACKGROUND: Dornase alfa and hypertonic saline are mucoactive therapies that can improve respiratory symptoms in people with cystic fibrosis (CF). A recent randomized control trial showed that participants with well-preserved pulmonary function taking elexacaftor + tezacaftor + ivacaftor (ETI) who discontinued dornase alfa or hypertonic saline for 6 weeks had no clinically meaningful decline in lung function. This may prompt discussions with care providers regarding ongoing use of these medications. OBJECTIVE: To compare the costs of outpatient medications between people taking ETI who continued or discontinued (1) dornase alfa or (2) hypertonic saline from 2 clinical trials and project cost differences in the US CF population if these 2 medications were used only intermittently for symptom relief instead of chronically. METHODS: The SIMPLIFY study was 2 parallel multicenter trials that randomized participants 1:1 to either continue or discontinue therapy. To estimate costs, we used data from the Merative MarketScan Databases to identify people with CF from 2020 to 2021. Our primary outcomes were differences in costs of outpatient prescription drugs among those who continued vs discontinued dornase alfa and, separately, hypertonic saline. We obtained adjusted differences in median costs. To estimate the annual cost savings if the population of people with CF taking ETI used these medications only intermittently, we multiplied the proportion of people in MarketScan with CF diagnoses who were taking each of these medications by the median cost savings per year and subtracted the cost of "rescue" use. RESULTS: A total of 392 participants from the dornase alfa trial and 273 from the hypertonic saline trial were included in analyses. The adjusted difference in median medication costs was not significant for the hypertonic saline trial, but we observed a significantly decreased 6-week cost of medications in the dornase alfa trial (adjusted median difference in costs between discontinue and continue of $5,860 (95% CI = $4,870-$6,850); P < 0.0001). We estimated that two-thirds of people with CF use ETI and dornase alfa in the United States; if they discontinued dornase alfa except for intermittent use, the resulting annual savings would be $1.21 billion. CONCLUSIONS: Although the costs of dornase alfa and hypertonic saline are smaller compared with ETI, reduction in use would lead to substantial prescription drug cost savings and reduce the treatment burden. However, individual benefits of these therapies should be considered, and decisions regarding changes in therapy remain an important discussion between people with CF and their providers. Study registration number: NCT04378153.

Limited effects of azithromycin on the oropharyngeal microbiome in children with CF and early pseudomonas infection.

BACKGROUND: Tobramycin inhalation solution (TIS) and chronic azithromycin (AZ) have known clinical benefits for children with CF, likely due to antimicrobial and anti-inflammatory activity. The effects of chronic AZ in combination with TIS on the airway microbiome have not been extensively investigated. Oropharyngeal swab samples were collected in the OPTIMIZE multicenter, randomized, placebo-controlled trial examining the addition of AZ to TIS in 198 children with CF and early P. aeruginosa infection. Bacterial small subunit rRNA gene community profiles were determined. The effects of TIS and AZ were assessed on oropharyngeal microbial diversity and composition to uncover whether effects on the bacterial community may be a mechanism of action related to the observed changes in clinical outcomes. RESULTS: Substantial changes in bacterial communities (total bacterial load, diversity and relative abundance of specific taxa) were observed by week 3 of TIS treatment for both the AZ and placebo groups. On average, these shifts were due to changes in non-traditional CF taxa that were not sustained at the later study visits (weeks 13 and 26). Bacterial community measures did not differ between the AZ and placebo groups. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides further evidence that the mechanism for AZ's effect on clinical outcomes is not due solely to action on airway microbial composition.

Understanding and addressing the needs of people with cystic fibrosis in the era of CFTR modulator therapy.

Cystic fibrosis is a multiorgan disease caused by impaired function of the cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR). Since the introduction of the CFTR modulator combination elexacaftor-tezacaftor-ivacaftor (ETI), which acts directly on mutant CFTR to enhance its activity, most people with cystic fibrosis (pwCF) have seen pronounced reductions in symptoms, and studies project marked increases in life expectancy for pwCF who are eligible for ETI. However, modulator therapy has not cured cystic fibrosis and the success of CFTR modulators has resulted in immediate questions about the new state of cystic fibrosis disease and clinical challenges in the care of pwCF. In this Series paper, we summarise key questions about cystic fibrosis disease in the era of modulator therapy, highlighting state-of-the-art research and clinical practices, knowledge gaps, new challenges faced by pwCF and the potential for future health-care challenges, and the pressing need for additional therapies to treat the underlying genetic or molecular causes of cystic fibrosis.

Advancing the pipeline of cystic fibrosis clinical trials: a new roadmap with a global trial network perspective.

The growing use of modulator therapies aimed at restoring cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) protein function in people with cystic fibrosis has fundamentally altered clinical trial strategies needed to advance new therapeutics across an orphan disease population that is now divided by CFTR modulator eligibility. The development of a robust pipeline of nucleic acid-based therapies (NABTs)-initially directed towards the estimated 10% of the cystic fibrosis population who are genetically ineligible for, or intolerant of, CFTR modulators-is dependent on the optimisation of restricted trial participant resources across multiple development programmes, a challenge that will preclude the use of gold standard placebo-controlled trials. Advancement of a full pipeline of symptomatic therapies across the entire cystic fibrosis population will be challenged by smaller effect sizes and uncertainty regarding their clinical importance in a growing modulator-treated population with more mild and stable pulmonary disease. In this Series paper, we aim to lay the foundation for clinical trial strategy and community partnership that must deviate from established and familiar precedent to advance the future pipeline of cystic fibrosis therapeutics.

Potential implicit bias in attribution of adverse events in randomized controlled trials in cystic fibrosis.

INTRODUCTION: Although work to date in cystic fibrosis (CF) has elucidated frequencies and characteristics of adverse events, the accuracy of attribution of relatedness to study drug by investigators has not been assessed. We aimed to determine whether there was an association of attribution by group allocation in CF clinical trials. METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis from 4 CF trials of all persons who experienced an AE. Our primary outcome was the odds of an AE related to active study drug and predictor of interest was the treatment allocation. We constructed a multivariable generalized estimating equation model allowing for repeated measures. RESULTS: A total of 785 subjects (47.5% female, mean age 12 years) had 11,974 AEs, of which 430 were serious. AE attribution was greater with receipt of active study drug as compared to placebo but did not reach statistical significance (OR 1.38, 95% CI 0.98-1.82). Significantly associated factors included female sex (OR 0.58, 95% 0.39-0.87), age (OR 1.24, 95% CI 1.06-1.46) and baseline lung function (per 10%, OR 1.16, 95% CI 1.05-1.28). CONCLUSION: In our large study, there was a non-significant but greater odds of AE attribution (a key element of clinical trial reporting) to active study drug based on assigned treatment to study drug or control which suggests that there is a trend in physicians to attribute blinded safety data to the active drug. Interestingly, females were less likely to have AE attribution to study drug and warrants further work in development and validation of monitoring guidelines and processes.

Lung Function Decline in Cystic Fibrosis: Impact of Data Availability and Modeling Strategies on Clinical Interpretations.

Rationale: Studies estimating the rate of lung function decline in cystic fibrosis have been inconsistent regarding the methods used. How the methodology used impacts the validity of the results and comparability between studies is unknown. Objectives: The Cystic Fibrosis Foundation established a work group whose tasks were to examine the impact of differing approaches to estimating the rate of decline in lung function and to provide analysis guidelines. Methods: We used a natural history cohort of 35,252 individuals with cystic fibrosis aged ⩾6 years in the Cystic Fibrosis Foundation Patient Registry (CFFPR), 2003-2016. Modeling strategies using linear and nonlinear forms of marginal and mixed-effects models, which have previously quantified the rate of forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) decline (percent predicted per year), were evaluated under clinically relevant scenarios of available lung function data. Scenarios varied by sample size (overall CFFPR, medium-sized cohort of 3,000 subjects, and small-sized cohort of 150), data collection/reporting frequency (encounter, quarterly, and annual), inclusion of FEV1 during pulmonary exacerbation, and follow-up length (<2 yr, 2-5 yr, entire duration). Results: Rate of FEV1 decline estimates (percent predicted per year) differed between linear marginal and mixed-effects models; overall cohort estimates (95% confidence interval) were 1.26 (1.24-1.29) and 1.40 (1.38-1.42), respectively. Marginal models consistently estimated less rapid lung function decline than mixed-effects models across scenarios, except for short-term follow-up (both were ∼1.4). Rate of decline estimates from nonlinear models diverged by age 30. Among mixed-effects models, nonlinear and stochastic terms fit best, except for short-term follow-up (<2 yr). Overall CFFPR analysis from a joint longitudinal-survival model implied that an increase in rate of decline of 1% predicted per year in FEV1 was associated with a 1.52-fold (52%) increase in the hazard of death/lung transplant, but the results exhibited immortal cohort bias. Conclusions: Differences were as high as 0.5% predicted per year between rate of decline estimates, but we found estimates were robust to lung function data availability scenarios, except short-term follow-up and older age ranges. Inconsistencies among previous study results may be attributable to inherent differences in study design, inclusion criteria, or covariate adjustment. Results-based decision points reported herein will support researchers in selecting a strategy to model lung function decline most reflective of nuanced, study-specific goals.

Discontinuation versus continuation of hypertonic saline or dornase alfa in modulator treated people with cystic fibrosis (SIMPLIFY): results from two parallel, multicentre, open-label, randomised, controlled, non-inferiority trials.

BACKGROUND: Reducing treatment burden is a priority for people with cystic fibrosis, whose health has benefited from using new modulators that substantially increase CFTR protein function. The SIMPLIFY study aimed to assess the effects of discontinuing nebulised hypertonic saline or dornase alfa in individuals using the CFTR modulator elexacaftor plus tezacaftor plus ivacaftor (ETI). METHODS: The SIMPLIFY study included two parallel, multicentre, open-label, randomised, controlled, non-inferiority trials at 80 participating clinics across the USA in the Cystic Fibrosis Therapeutics Development Network. We included individuals with cystic fibrosis aged 12-17 years with percent predicted FEV1 (ppFEV1) of 70% or more, or those aged 18 years or older with ppFEV1 of 60% or more, if they had been taking ETI and either (or both) mucoactive therapies (≥3% hypertonic saline or dornase alfa) for at least 90 days before screening. Participants on both hypertonic saline and dornase alfa were randomly assigned to one of the two trials, and those on a single therapy were assigned to the applicable trial. All participants were then randomly assigned 1:1 to continue or discontinue therapy for 6 weeks using permuted blocks of varying size, stratified by baseline ppFEV1 (week 0; ≥90% or <90%), single or concurrent use of hypertonic saline and dornase alfa, previous SIMPLIFY study participation (yes or no), and age (≥18 or <18 years). For participants randomly assigned to continue their therapy during a given trial, this therapy was instructed to be taken at least once daily according to each participant's pre-existing, clinically prescribed regimen. Hypertonic saline concentration was required to be at least 3%. The primary objective for each trial was to determine whether discontinuing was non-inferior to continuing, measured by the 6-week change in ppFEV1 in the per-protocol population. We established a non-inferiority margin of -3% for the difference between groups in the 6-week change in ppFEV1. Safety outcomes were analysed in the intention-to-treat population. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04378153. FINDINGS: From Aug 25, 2020, to May 25, 2022, a total of 672 unique participants were screened for eligibility for one or both trials, resulting in 847 total random assignments across both trials with 594 unique participants. 370 participants were randomly assigned in the hypertonic saline trial and 477 in the dornase alfa trial. Participants across both trials had an average ppFEV1 of 96·9%. Discontinuing treatment was non-inferior to continuing treatment with respect to the absolute 6-week change in ppFEV1 in both the hypertonic saline trial (-0·19% [95% CI -0·85 to 0·48] in the discontinuation group [n=133] vs 0·14% [-0·51 to 0·78] in the continuation group [n=140]; between-group difference -0·32% [-1·25 to 0·60]) and dornase alfa trial (0·18% [-0·38 to 0·74] in the discontinuation group [n=199] vs -0·16% [-0·73 to 0·41] in the continuation group [n=193]; between-group difference 0·35% [-0·45 to 1·14]), with consistent results in the intention-to-treat populations. In the hypertonic saline trial, 64 (35%) of 184 in the discontinuation group versus 44 (24%) of 186 participants in the continuation group and, in the dornase alfa trial, 89 (37%) of 240 in the discontinuation group versus 55 (23%) of 237 in the continuation group had at least one adverse event. INTERPRETATION: In individuals with cystic fibrosis on ETI with relatively well preserved pulmonary function, discontinuing daily hypertonic saline or dornase alfa for 6 weeks did not result in clinically meaningful differences in pulmonary function when compared with continuing treatment.

Eradication of early MRSA infection in cystic fibrosis: a novel study design for the STAR-ter trial.

Introduction: Early eradication of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) in cystic fibrosis is desirable. Prospective studies are challenging owing to the feasibility of recruiting patients with a rare event in an orphan disease. Our prior randomised study (Staph Aureus Resistance-Treat Or Observe (STAR-too)) showed improved clearance and outcomes with aggressive therapy compared to no treatment. We present a novel trial design to guide treatment for eradicating incident infection with a focus on feasibility. Methods: Subjects with cystic fibrosis with incident MRSA infection were enrolled into the Staph Aureus Resistance-Treat Early And Repeat (STAR-ter) protocol and treated with a combination of an oral antibiotic and topical (nare and throat) decolonisation. The primary outcome was MRSA-negative respiratory culture at Day 28, i.e. 14 days after completion of oral antibiotics. What was novel about this study design was that the control/comparator group was the untreated group of the STAR-too trial. This design was developed because having a "no treatment" group would be unethical given prior findings and a superiority design would delay the time to results based on small numbers of eligible subjects. Both studies used the same inclusion and exclusion criteria and drew subjects from the same geographic regions. The main difference between the studies was the use of a single oral antibiotic, trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, rather than the combination with oral rifampin used in STAR-too. Discussion: An innovative approach to address a clinical question for a rare event in an orphan disease, cystic fibrosis, is presented to enhance current clinical evidence to guide cystic fibrosis care in relation to new MRSA infection.

Rate of Lung Function Decline in People with Cystic Fibrosis Having a Residual Function Gene Mutation.

INTRODUCTION: Cystic fibrosis (CF) is an autosomal recessive disease caused by mutations in the CF transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) gene. Approximately 5% of people with CF have residual function (RF) CFTR mutations that result in partially retained CFTR activity. Published literature on disease trajectory among those with RF mutations is limited. In this retrospective study, we characterized lung function decline across different age groups in CFTR modulator-untreated people with CF heterozygous for F508del and an RF mutation (F/RF). METHODS: Rate of decline in percent predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 s (ppFEV1) was analyzed using data from the US CF Foundation Patient Registry (2006-2014) in F/RF (all), F/RF (excluding R117H), and F508del homozygous (F/F) cohorts. Annual rates of ppFEV1 decline were estimated over 2-year periods based on calendar year. Subgroup analyses by age [6-12 (children), 13-17 (adolescents), 18-24 (young adults), and ≥ 25 years (adults)] were performed. RESULTS: The estimated annualized rate of ppFEV1 decline was - 0.70 percentage points per year (95% CI -1.09, -0.30) in the F/RF (all) cohort (N = 1242) versus -1.91 percentage points per year (95% CI -2.01, -1.80) in the F/F cohort (N = 11,916) [difference, 1.29 percentage points per year (95% CI 0.88, 1.70); P < 0.001]. In the F/RF (all) cohort, all age groups demonstrated lung function decline ranging from -0.30 to -1.38. In the F/RF (excluding R117H) cohort, the rate of decline was -1.05 percentage points per year (95% CI -1.51, -0.60) [difference versus F/F cohort, 0.95 percentage points per year (95% CI 0.48, 1.41; P < 0.001); not statistically significant in children and young adults]. CONCLUSION: Progressive lung function decline was observed in people with F/RF genotypes across all assessed age groups, reinforcing the importance of early intervention and clinical monitoring to preserve lung function in all people with CF.

In people with cystic fibrosis, lung function typically decreases over time and is linked to the severity of the disease. How fast lung function decreases (referred to as the rate of lung function decline) in cystic fibrosis depends on the specific mutations (changes) in the CFTR gene (which causes the disease). Lung function decline has been well studied in some mutation groups, but not many previous studies have looked at lung function decline in people with one copy of the F508del-CFTR mutation (which is the most common CFTR mutation and results in little to no functional CFTR protein) and another CFTR mutation called a residual function mutation (referred to as people with F/RF genotypes). We used data from the US Cystic Fibrosis Foundation Patient Registry (which collects information on the health of people in the USA who have cystic fibrosis), to look at the rate of lung function decline in people with F/RF genotypes. We found that people with cystic fibrosis who have F/RF genotypes experience lung function loss over time. We also found that this lung function loss occurred in people of all ages with F/RF genotypes. This finding supports the importance of early treatment to help prevent lung function loss in all people with cystic fibrosis, including people with F/RF genotypes.

Development and Internal Validation of a Prognostic Model of the Probability of Death or Lung Transplantation Within 2 Years for Patients With Cystic Fibrosis and FEV1 ≤ 50% Predicted.

BACKGROUND: Improved methods are needed to risk-stratify patients with cystic fibrosis (CF) and reduced FEV1. RESEARCH QUESTIONS: What are the predictors of death or lung transplantation (LTx) within 2 years among patients with CF whose FEV1 ≤ 50% predicted? Do these markers similarly predict outcomes among G551D patients taking ivacaftor since 2012? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Patients with CF, age ≥ 6 years with FEV1 ≤ 50% predicted as of December 31, 2014, were identified in a data set that merged Cystic Fibrosis Foundation and United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) registries. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method was applied to a randomly selected training set to select important prognostic variables. Accuracy and association of the model with death or LTx with 2 years (2-year death or LTx) were validated via logistic regression on an independent test set. Sensitivity analyses explored predictors for patients with UNOS data. RESULTS: FEV1 percent predicted (OR, 1.51 for 5% decrease; 95% CI, 1.27-1.81), number of pulmonary exacerbations treated with IV antibiotics (OR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.11-1.65), and continuous or nocturnal oxygen (OR, 3.71; 95% CI, 1.81-7.59) were significantly associated with 2-year death or LTx. Our model predicted outcomes with greater sensitivity (ratio of sensitivity, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.02-1.54), ratio of positive predictive value (1.25; 95% CI, 1.05-1.51), and ratio of negative predictive value (1.04; 95% CI, 1.01-1.07) than FEV1 < 30% predicted. Among those taking ivacaftor in 2014, only FEV1 remained associated with 2-year death or LTx. For patients with UNOS data, LASSO identified additional covariates of interest, including noninvasive ventilation use, low hemoglobin, pulmonary arterial systolic pressure, supplemental oxygen, mechanical ventilation, FEV1 percent predicted, and cardiac index. INTERPRETATION: Among individuals with CF and FEV1 ≤ 50% predicted, FEV1 percent predicted, oxygen therapy, and number of pulmonary exacerbations predicted 2-year death or LTx. Although limited by small sample size, only FEV1 remained predictive in patients receiving highly effective modulator therapy. Additional physiologic variables could improve prognostication in CF.

Prospectively evaluating maternal and fetal outcomes in the era of CFTR modulators: the MAYFLOWERS observational clinical trial study design.

INTRODUCTION: Therapeutic advances have markedly increased life expectancy for those with cystic fibrosis (CF), resulting in a median predicted survival over 50 years. Consequently, people with CF (pwCF) are living through their reproductive years and the rate of pregnancy is rapidly rising. Despite the increased relevance of this topic, multicentre studies investigating the association between maternal health and choices made during pregnancy on maternal and fetal outcomes do not exist. Furthermore, there are very limited data on the outcomes following CF transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) modulator use during pregnancy and lactation. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Maternal and Fetal Outcomes in the Era of Modulators (MAYFLOWERS) is a prospective, multicentre observational clinical trial which will enrol approximately 285 pregnant pwCF including those who are modulator ineligible and those who choose to continue or discontinue CFTR modulator therapy during pregnancy and lactation. The primary aim of this 35-month study is to assess whether lung function changes during pregnancy differ based on the continued use of modulators or other factors such as pre-existing comorbid conditions. Secondary objectives include evaluation of pregnancy related and obstetrical complications and changes in mental health. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The design of this study required special consideration of study burden on pregnant and lactating people with chronic illness in the setting of a substantial number of unanswered questions under these conditions. MAYFLOWERS is the first prospective clinical trial examining pregnancy in CF; the outcomes will guide providers on pregnancy management in pwCF and others with chronic respiratory disease.

Impact of azithromycin on serum inflammatory markers in children with cystic fibrosis and new Pseudomonas.

Chronic azithromycin improves outcomes in cystic fibrosis (CF), but its mechanism of action is unclear. The OPTIMIZE trial demonstrated improvement in time to first pulmonary exacerbation in children with new Pseudomonas treated with azithromycin. Azithromycin effect on systemic markers of inflammation over 18 months was assessed by change from baseline for high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, myeloperoxidase, calprotectin and absolute neutrophil count in the OPTIMIZE population. Subjects treated with chronic azithromycin or placebo had samples collected at baseline, 39 and 78 weeks of treatment. In 129 subjects, a significant decrease in high-sensitivity C-reactive protein was present at 39 weeks in the azithromycin group compared to placebo, but no significant difference between the groups at 78 weeks. No differences in change from baseline in myeloperoxidase, calprotectin or absolute neutrophil count were present at either time point. This supports the concept of a transient immunomodulatory effect for chronic azithromycin therapy in children with CF.

Testing the effects of combining azithromycin with inhaled tobramycin for P. aeruginosa in cystic fibrosis: a randomised, controlled clinical trial.

RATIONALE: Inhaled tobramycin and oral azithromycin are common chronic therapies in people with cystic fibrosis and Pseudomonas aeruginosa airway infection. Some studies have shown that azithromycin can reduce the ability of tobramycin to kill P. aeruginosa. This trial was done to test the effects of combining azithromycin with inhaled tobramycin on clinical and microbiological outcomes in people already using inhaled tobramycin. We theorised that those randomised to placebo (no azithromycin) would have greater improvement in forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) and greater reduction in P. aeruginosa sputum in response to tobramycin. METHODS: A 6-week prospective, randomised, placebo-controlled, double-blind trial testing oral azithromycin versus placebo combined with clinically prescribed inhaled tobramycin in individuals with cystic fibrosis and P. aeruginosa airway infection. RESULTS: Over a 6-week period, including 4 weeks of inhaled tobramycin, the relative change in FEV1 did not statistically significantly differ between groups (azithromycin (n=56) minus placebo (n=52) difference: 3.44%; 95% CI: -0.48 to 7.35; p=0.085). Differences in secondary clinical outcomes, including patient-reported symptom scores, weight and need for additional antibiotics, did not significantly differ. Among the 29 azithromycin and 35 placebo participants providing paired sputum samples, the 6-week change in P. aeruginosa density differed in favour of the placebo group (difference: 0.75 log10 CFU/mL; 95% CI: 0.03 to 1.47; p=0.043). CONCLUSIONS: Despite having greater reduction in P. aeruginosa density in participants able to provide sputum samples, participants randomised to placebo with inhaled tobramycin did not experience significantly greater improvements in lung function or other clinical outcomes compared with those randomised to azithromycin with tobramycin.

Validation of the French 3-year prognostic score for death or lung transplant in the United States cystic fibrosis population.

In 2017, Nkam et al. published a prognostic score to predict death or lung transplant within 3 years among adult cystic fibrosis (CF) patients. Their model was developed using French CF registry data and was subsequently validated in the Canadian CF registry. We evaluated this prognostic score using data from adult patients with CF in the United States (US) CF Foundation Patient registry, combined with lung transplant records from the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) Registry (2013 to 2016) (n=11,542). We found that the prognostic score had a very good discriminative index predicting death or lung transplant in the US CF population (AUC 0.88, 95% CI 0.88-0.89) with an odds ratio (OR) of 2.83 (95% CI 2.69 - 2.97) for each unit increase in the score. However, it did not provide significant additional utility over an FEV1 ≤30% of predicted as a predictor of death or lung transplant.

A new path for CF clinical trials through the use of historical controls.

BACKGROUND: Given future challenges in conducting large randomized, placebo controlled trials for future CF therapeutics development, we evaluated the potential for using external historical controls to either enrich or replace traditional concurrent placebo groups in CF trials. METHODS: The study included data from sequentially completed, randomized, controlled clinical trials, EPIC and OPTIMIZE respectively, evaluating optimal antibiotic therapy to reduce the risk of pulmonary exacerbation in children with early Pseudomonas aeruginosa infection. The primary treatment effect in OPTIMIZE, the risk of pulmonary exacerbation associated with azithromycin, was re-estimated in alternative designs incorporating varying numbers of participants from the earlier trial (EPIC) as historical controls. Bias and precision of these estimates were characterized. Propensity scores were derived to adjust for baseline differences across study populations, and both Poisson and Cox regression were used to estimate treatment efficacy. RESULTS: Replacing 86 OPTIMIZE placebo participants with 304 controls from EPIC to mimic a fully historically controlled trial resulted an 8% reduction in risk of pulmonary exacerbations (Hazard ratio (HR):0.92 95% CI 0.61, 1.34) when not adjusting for key baseline differences between study populations. After adjustment, a 37% decrease in risk of exacerbation (HR:0.63, 95% CI 0.50, 0.80) was estimated, comparable to the estimate from the original trial comparing the 86 placebo participants to 77 azithromycin participants on azithromycin (45%, HR:0.55, 95% CI: 0.34, 0.86). Other adjusted approaches provided similar estimates for the efficacy of azithromycin in reducing exacerbation risk: pooling all controls from both studies provided a HR of 0.60 (95% x`CI 0.46, 0.77) and augmenting half the OPTIMIZE placebo participants with EPIC controls gave a HR 0.63 (95% CI 0.48, 0.82). CONCLUSIONS: The potential exists for future CF trials to utilize historical control data. Careful consideration of both the comparability of controls and of optimal methods can reduce the potential for biased estimation of treatment effects.

Measuring the impact of CFTR modulation on sweat chloride in cystic fibrosis: Rationale and design of the CHEC-SC study.

BACKGROUND: The Characterizing CFTR Modulated Changes in Sweat Chloride and their Association with Clinical Outcomes (CHEC-SC) study is a large epidemiologic study designed to determine the relationship between sweat chloride response and clinical outcomes in people with cystic fibrosis (CF) on commercially approved CFTR modulators. A challenge to study feasibility was capturing sweat chloride measurements before modulator initiation. We tested the hypothesis that historic sweat chloride approximated contemporary pre-modulator values to estimate CFTR modulator-induced changes, allowing a single-visit study design. METHODS: GOAL and PROSPECT were multi-center prospective studies of individuals initiating ivacaftor or lumacaftor-ivacaftor. At enrollment, pre-modulator sweat chloride was measured and historic results recorded. Post-modulator sweat chloride was measured at 1, 3 and 6 months. For this analysis, differences between historic and pre-modulator sweat chloride were estimated. CFTR modulator-induced sweat chloride mean changes were compared using historic and pre-modulator sweat chloride. RESULTS: Paired historic and pre-modulator sweat chloride (n=406 participants) revealed a non-significant mean change of -1.0 mmol/L (95% CI: -2.71, 0.66) over an average of 17.2 years. Calculating sweat response to ivacaftor or lumacaftor-ivacaftor using historic or pre-modulator values resulted in similar estimates of modulator response. Based on these results, the CHEC-SC study was designed with a single, post-modulator sweat chloride measurement. CONCLUSIONS: Historic sweat chloride values provide a reliable estimate of pre-modulator sweat chloride for people starting on modulator therapy. The CHEC-SC study anticipates capturing approximately 5,000 sweat chloride values, providing an unprecedented understanding of sweat chloride across the CF population in the era of CFTR modulators.